Noaa Hurricane Center
Just yesterday I had posted the National Hurricane Center’s forecast for the Atlantic hurricane season. To my surprise, they changed it overnight! The update has increased the amount of named storms & hurricanes and decreased the projected number of major hurricanes. The basis for their predictions are based off of global pressure patterns, like El Nino and La Nina; as well as sea surface temperature among other parameters. The previous forecast called for 12-18 named storms, 6-10 hurricanes, and 3-6 major hurricanes. The updated forecast calls for 14-19 named storms, 7-10 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes. These are hurricanes of category 3 or higher, with wind speeds at or exceeding 111 mph. Which forecast will ring true? Guess we will have to wait until November, when the season ends, to find out.